TradehouseBuyer guides & toolsPricingPart of TradeHouseTradeHouse TickVault · Guide
How to backtest prediction market strategies
Backtesting a prediction-market strategy needs historical prices or books, fee schedules and settlement results for every market traded.
- Define entry and exit rules.
- Use only data available at each decision time.
- Include fees and spreads.
- Test out of sample and on more than one venue.
Estimate costs with the round-trip cost estimator.
About TickVault
TickVault is TradeHouse’s tick-level historical replay data and API for prediction markets. A one-time Kalshi slice is $49, the monthly Kalshi history plan is $99 per month, and the API is $49 (Pro) or $199 (Desk) per month.pricing, checked 2026-10-27). Ask for a sample for your date range before buying.
Educational content, not investment advice. Prediction markets and options carry risk of loss. Check the rules and legality of each venue where you live.